Friday, September 30, 2011
Kickoffs? Practically a Field Goal
Where Legends are Born
This being a collaborative blog, I thought it best that you got the best of all viewpoints heading into baseball's postseason. So I will call onto my esteemed co-counsel for the most comprehensive batch of throwing shit up against a wall that you have seen. If October is "Where Legends Are Born" in baseball than Views from the Couch is where our bullshit can become your pearls of wisdom. Maybe we should get Jake Gyllenhall or Don Cheadle to give our mission statement as well.
St. Louis Cardinals (NL Wildcard Winner) vs Philadelphia Phillies (NL East Winner)
Pick: Phillies in 4
The Phillies have been a juggernaut for the better part of the year due to their heralded starting rotation and I don't see that changing much in the first round of the playoffs. The Phillies finished the season leading the league in ERA (3.02), quality starts (108), and WHIP (1.17). Not to mention they have two maybe three legitimate Cy Young contenders if you include Cole Hamels in with perennial contenders Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee. Roy Oswalt in the 4 hole isn't too shabby either. The biggest question with the Phillies for most of the year was their offense but after an 8 game losing streak in September the Fightin' Phils swept the Braves to close out the regular season and seem poised to mash. Expect Chase Utley, Hunter Pence, Ryan Howard, Shane Victorino, and company to hit in the clutch in the postseason.
The Cardinals have been hot in September and surged past the choking and in need of the Heimlich maneuver Braves (who surprisingly choked a month earlier then the franchise usually does) to snag the NL Wild Card on the final day of the season. The problem with having to wait until the last day of the season is that ace Chris Carpenter had to pitch on Wednesday night (threw a gem: CG, 2 H, 1 BB, 11 K's) to ensure that the Cardinals even made it this far thus forcing him to be able to only throw one game in the 5 game set. I doubt the Cards can steal 2 games, I would've given 'em a shot at stealing 1 but not 2, against a Phillies team that is loaded on talent (only team to win over 100 games this year) on the mound and at the dish. The Cards have some offensive firepower in Albert Pujols, Matt Holiday, and Lance Berkman but none of the three has ever really stepped up and carried a team throughout the playoffs except maybe Pujols in 2006. The Cardinals will make the series interesting but I expect that they'll only win game 3 when Carpenter pitches otherwise the Phillies will sail to the NLCS.
Geoff
Staff (and we use this term loosely) Picks:
Norton- Phillies
ZHawk- Phillies
JLang- Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks (NL West Winner) vs Milwaukee Brewers (NL Central Winner)
Pick: Brewers in 3
The Diamondbacks have been the feel-good story of the National League this year but that will end in the first round. I also don't think it's going to be much of a series. Ian Kennedy, Justin Upton and their bullpen have all had a phenomenal year for the Snakes, but they don't have the offensive firepower to match Milwaukee's bats or the quality starting pitching to go toe-to-toe with their staff. One of the best stats to quantify a team is their run differential and Milwaukee's run differential at +83 is better than Arizona's +69.
Milwaukee has a better team ERA 3.63 to 3.80. Better OBP against .304 to .316. Better OPS against .689 to .725. WHIP of 1.24 to 1.29. Lastly in terms of pitching they dominated in strikeouts, 1257 to 1058.
Milwaukee also has a daunting middle of the order with Ryan Braun and an about to be free agent, Prince Fielder. Their team batting average .261 is better than Arizona's .250. Team OPS is also better at .750 compared to .736.
The only thing that Arizona seems to be better at than Milwaukee on paper is, their defense. Only 90 errors on the season to 111, of course, if you take away Yuniesky Betancourt's butchery of the Shortstop position (21 errors) you are dead even.
Last, but certainly not least, if you have a baseball nickname like Hammerin' Hebrew, you can't lose. Milwaukee in a cakewalk.
Norton
Staff Picks:
Geoff- Brewers
JLang- Brewers
ZHawk- Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays (AL Wildcard Winner) vs Texas Rangers (AL West Winner)
Pick: Rangers in 4
Now I may come across as a bitter Red Sox fan by saying this, but I don't see the Rays beating the Rangers in their ALDS matchup.
Here is why...
The Rangers' team as a whole is much too strong for the Rays to overtake. In my humble opinion, this is the sleeper team to go to the World Series from the American League. Former MVP, and my personal favorite Major Leaguer, Josh Hamilton and former Sock prospect David Murphy, plus Nelson Cruz, form a formidable outfield combination that brings a combination of power, speed, and defense that is nearly incomparable to many other teams. The hitting prowess of another former Sock, Adrian Beltre (.296/.331/.561, plus 32 dong shots and 105 RBIs), second sacker Ian Kinsler with much less flashy numbers (.255/.355/.477, with 32 and 77) provide the pomp and circumstance to the outfield's hail to the chief. CJ Wilson, Derek Holland, Matt Harrison, and Colby Lewis form a solid, yet unspectacular, rotation, with Wilson leading the way at 16-7 with a 2.94 ERA.
The Rays, coming on strong as of late (obviously), have, for the most part, ridden a rocky road this season. Evan Longoria has finally regained the form that has been absent from his game for a lot of the year, but where is the rest of the team? The super tandem of Jaso-Shoppach behind the dish isn't exactly the baseball equivalent to Shaq and Kobe. Desmond Jennings has fallen off a cliff lately. Sean Rodriguez, Reed Brignac, and Ben Zobrist aren't exactly Jason and the Argonauts at the plate. Casey Kotchman is the starting first basemen. BJ Upton's attitude has begun to rear its ugly head. Who is carrying this team against the Rangers? Joe Maddon's bleached-blonde flowing locks are going to need some 1999 Pedro performances from David Price (looked like shit in game 162), James Shields (a HORSE on the bump if there ever was one), Matt Moore's Eyebrow (quite the eyebrow, I must say) and Jeremy Hellickson (where the hell did he fall off to?). That rotation, plus a bullpen anchored by Joel Peralta and Kyle Farnsworth, makes me say just one thing...
Rangers in 4.
Staff Picks:
Geoff- Rangers
Norton- Rays
ZHawk-Rangers
Detroit Tigers (AL Central Winner) vs New York Yankees (AL East Winner)
Pick: Tigers in 5
A battle of arguably the hottest team in Major League Baseball over the final two months of the season (38-16, .702%), the Detroit Tigers, and one of the most consistent teams in the league the New York Yankees, will undoubtedly prove to be a great series. Both teams have good starting pitching, good lineups and great bullpens. A big plus for the Tigers is that Justin Verlander and Doug Fister will be pitching 3 times in this series. Verlander is a virtual lock for the Cy Young award this season. Tossing one of the best seasons in recent history, Verlander posted a 24-5 record with a 2.40 ERA, 240 Ks and a .92 WHIP. To put it simply, the man has been downright filthy. Doug Fister has been hot as a pistol recently. In his last 8 outings, Fister has been even better than the Cy favorite in Verlander, going 7-0 with a 0.65 ERA. Combined the two were 14-0 with a 1.61 ERA since August. Delmon Young, Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez and Alex Avila are a very solid 3 through 6 in their order as well. The Tigers can score runs with the best of them when things are clicking. A big X-factor in that lineup in my eyes is Ryan Raburn, when Raburn gets on a hot streak; he is a dynamic player for the Tigers offense. Say goodnight once you get to the eighth and ninth innings too because Joaquin Benoit and Jose Valverde are as good as it gets at shutting the door. Rookie reliever Al Alburqeurque is another name to watch out of the bullpen as he has been stellar all season.
The New York Yankees are the New York Yankees, as always, they are a force to be reckoned with. While in my eyes, they are weaker than in years past. They are still a great ball club. C.C Sabathia is the same horse of a pitcher as he has ever been. Ivan Nova has been a big surprise for them this year, having a great second half of the season. When the late innings roll around, don't bet on scoring any runs on this team either. David Robertson, Rafael Soriano and the greatest closer in major league baseball history A.K.A 'The Sandman' A.K.A Mariano Rivera form the pitching version of Murderer's Row in the seventh, eighth and ninth. They're lineup is better than any around as well. Two MVP candidates in Curtis Granderson ( .262 AVG 41 HR and 119 RBI), and newly minted number three hitter Robinson Cano (.302 AVG 28 HR and 118 RBI). They have past MVP candidates in Mark Teixeira, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter. They also have a fantastic supporting cast, with guys like Nick Swisher and Brett Gardner. The Yankees lineup doesn't have a single easy out in it. If there is any team in Major League Baseball that is going to give the Tigers rotation of Verlander, Fister and Scherzer a run for its money it is this Yankees ball club.
When it is all said and done, I don't see the Yankees being able to bash their way through the very strong Tigers pitching staff. The tone of the series will be set in game 1, with Verlander going blow for blow with C.C and Verlander coming out the victor. Fister wins game 2. Yankees beat Scherzer game 3. Yankees beat Rick Porcello in game 4. Verlander shuts the door on the Yankees in game 5. There you have it folks. That's how it's going down. You heard it here first.
Detroit Verlafisters take the series in 5 games.
-ZHawk
Staff Picks:
Geoff- Yankees
Norton- Tigers
JLang- Tigers
Boom. There you have it. You just got "Couched".
Stay Tuned
Norton
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Picking up the Pieces
The Red Sox, or Dead Sox, or Red Sux whatever you want to call them spit the bit last night. They spit the bit in such dramatic and gut-wrenching fashion that they actually overtook 1978 as the worst regular season loss in franchise history. The completion of the collapse was so theatrical that Scorsese couldn't have scripted it. The Rays come back from 7 runs down to force extra innings. The Red Sox are forced to watch it happen in the clubhouse during an ill-timed rain delay. Then Dan Johnson comes up with yet another homerun that bends the Red Sox over, dry. Papelbon blows a save. And within 3 minutes Longoria hits his 2nd homerun of the night to propel them into October. Here is what I took away from last night:
- Dustin Pedroia is hands down the best second basemen in baseball, if this wasn't already established before the game. He couldn't have played better in the biggest game of the season. There's your cornerstone.
- Jon Lester was clearly fighting himself to stay within the strike zone. But he found a way to be good. Only problem was the Red Sox needed him to be great. 2 runs over 6 innings definitely should have been enough to get a win. But the Sox needed someone to go out there and give them 8 innings 2 hit no-run ball and it just wasn't there. His start was admirable but not awe-inspiring.
- Alfredo Aceves is a guy that I will have on my team any day.
- Jonathan Papelbon's brilliant season will probably be forgotten because of the grotesque way that it ended. But I'll leave you with this, would you have any confidence with Bard as your closer right now? That's what I thought.
- Daniel Bard needs to fix "it". Whatever it was that made his release point so inconsistent for the last month has to be fixed. If it's not fixed then he is no longer a strength and is basically Bobby Jenks or *gulp* Manny DelCarmen. He got out of the 8th inning last night but tell me you didn't pucker up when Vladdy hit that towering flyball to center.
- Adrian Gonzalez didn't show up when you needed him to. The entire month of September, he didn't show up. If you're injured that's one thing, but if you are in the lineup, you are expected to produce. His season wasn't a bust, but the finish was an absolute disappointment. Also, for him to say, "God has a plan for us and it was to not make the playoffs" makes me want to backhand him. Even Kevin Costner knows you don't bring God between the lines. See the script from For Love of the Game, below:
- Lord, I know that
- I always said...
that I'd never involve You
- in a baseball game.
It always seemed silly.
- I mean, You got enough to do.
- [ Exhales ]
- But if there's any way
- You could make this pain
- in my shoulder go away...
- for about ten minutes.
If the movies know not to involve the Higher Beings, why doesn't the highest paid player on the Red Sox?
The question going forward is can this team win as currently constituted. The answer is a resounding, no. There has to be changes and there will probably be multiple. Here's what I think happens and who goes and who stays.
Theo Epstein- He certainly has to take his share of the blame pie. The amount of bad contracts on this team and dead money on the books certainly doesn't look good on his resume. But how do you bring someone else into this and tell them to clean up a mess of this magnitude? I don't think you can, I think the Sox brass has to sit down with Theo and say, "We hate eating money, but we are businessmen and know when you have to cut losses, and we are going to be eating money this offseason." Theo has to figure out why he is so bad at evaluating free agents and he needs to turn it around, now.
Terry Francona- While I don't think this is entirely his fault. He seems to want to be done in Boston. When asked if he wanted to return he skated the question. Even the best managers run their course in different towns. His managerial style was perfect for 2004 with that group, but he has a bunch of guys outside of Pedroia and Ellsbury that needed a kick in the ass, and he didn't give it to them. That's where he needs to be accountable, and it may have cost him his job. He will most certainly be gone if another GM comes in. Most GM's want to start fresh with their manager. But if he wants to be in Boston he'll be back, but I do not think the Sox ultimately pick up his option.
John Lackey- There is no way unless he holds a press conference with a massive mea culpa vowing to be better that he and all his baggage, mouth breathing and horse facedness can come back to this town. He is an unaccountable cancer in the club house with diminishing stuff and a piss-poor attitude. His contract is an albatross and you will not be able to trade him for anything of value but the value of him not being on the team is FAR greater than him being on it. You will have to eat 60-75% or more of the contract to even think of trading him but another team would actually have to want to have him on his team. It was a failed signing. Write it off, you have the money. If you can't trade him you release him. You can't have that kind of poison in your clubhouse.
Carl Crawford- I have never seen such a self-pitying baseball player in my entire life. Most players when faced with adversity try and beat it back with their bat or arm and be a better player, this guy tucks his tail between his legs and turtles. During the final series of the year when you need to win out, he comes out and says, "I should be hitting second, I don't want to worry about trying to hit home runs". Well there's one problem with that, there's a better number 2 hitter already on the roster, his name is Dustin Pedroia. He doesn't have enough power to hit 3-6 and he causes a fit when asked to hit leadoff. His once heralded defense was so bad that it cost the Red Sox at least 2 games this year. He only stole 18 bases, 18 and didn't even get on base above a .290 clip for Christ sake. I'm not saying you should trade him, but I am saying where does he fit? He didn't fit when you signed him and after the first year it couldn't be more obvious that this player is not the player you thought you signed. I understand that 7 years and 142 million is a large commitment but if there is any way that you could swap him for Jayson Werth I would do it in a heartbeat despite Werth's down year.
Tim Bogar- He needs to go. The Red Sox ranked second this year in runners thrown out at the plate this year. There is no way that Marco Scutaro should be sent on Crawford's double after he stopped mid-way between 2nd and 3rd. If he doesn't go you will once again see more baserunning blunders than should happen on a team of this (supposed) caliber.
Jonathan Papelbon- He had a phenomenal season, which will be marred by the nasty taste of the final game in Baltimore. Papelbon has to come back. Daniel Bard is not ready to be the closer of this team. He is accountable when faced with adversity and one could argue he had his best statistical year in the big leagues. There will be a choice between Ortiz and Papelbon who will probably get around the same Average Annual Value contract. 3-4 years at 14 million per year.
David Ortiz- David Ortiz had a fantastic rebound season. That being said I think it's time you let him walk and collect the two compensatory draft picks for letting a Type A Free Agent go. We have seen what the decline looks like with Ortiz and it isn't pretty. I would bring him back if he took shorter years but he won't. This coupled with Kevin Youkilis getting older and the constant beating his body takes you will need to have the DH spot open to either rotate him in or give it to him permanently through the remainder of his contract.
Jason Varitek/Tim Wakefield- It's been a good run guys. But this team isn't getting any younger. The "game-calling" ability is invaluable, but when that is you're ONLY value it is not enough to keep on the roster. It is time to let Varitek walk. Tim Wakefield is a strange case. He should be let go. But with pitching being so volatile and injury-prone he could have a spot. Ultimately I don't think they want someone that is only good for a 5.00 ERA and he will retire.
JD Drew-Feels like this moment couldn't have come sooner didn't it? Basically he played good defense and hit a home run in the playoffs. That's the extent of JD's tenure in Boston. We will need a right fielder.
There are only a handful of players that I think have a cemented spot on next year's team. Dustin Pedroia, the captain and the best all-around player on your team. Jacoby Ellsbury, what a year this kid had. Jon Lester, despite his struggles in September he is still one of the preeminent lefties in the game. Clay Buchholz, You have to write the year off but affordable quality starting pitching is a commodity. Adrian Gonzalez, he'll learn to not be so passive and God-fearing.
The Red Sox are too left-handed. The did hit well against lefties, but late in the games versus "lefty specialists" they were vulnerable. They need to look at a Michael Cuddyer who mashes lefties and can play the outfield and has the versatility to play in the infield as well.
The one thing that sets the Red Sox apart from just about all the other playoff teams is their lack of an "Ace". They don't have a CC Sabathia, Justin Verlander, Roy Halladay. They need an impact arm. Especially when they get rid of John Lackey. They need to explore trades, names like Felix Hernandez, Johan Santana, James Shields and Tim Hudson all need to be discussed if someone will deal them.
The Red Sox season woefully underachieved and there has to be moves. If this team comes back in 2012 intact, with no major additions or more importantly subtractions they will continue to be maddening to watch. This team needs a hardnosed swagger back because right now they are playing "entitled baseball" when the only way to play baseball is to earn your spot in the postseason not have it handed to you.
Stay Tuned
Norton
Monday, September 26, 2011
The Quick Slant Week 3: Where’d All The Defense Go?
Sunday, September 25, 2011
Embrace the Race
Make no mistake, I am not condoning the hot horseshit brand of baseball the Red Sox have been playing since August turned to September but I am going to say, embrace the race.
Payrolls aside, when did the Red Sox become the Yankees? And by this I mean pompous frontrunners. The Red Sox throughout history have been the "workman-like" team while the Yankees spent to excess and bought the best available talent year after year. The Sox were rolling over competition, not just rolling steamrolling everyone and everything that got in their path. The best team in baseball from May 1- August 31.
But when did the Northeast Region, and Red Sox Nation collectively become the type of fans that wanted a playoff spot handed to them. Baseball is a war of attrition, the most grueling of all of the 4 major sports schedules, it may not be the most physically demanding on a game to game basis but the mental fatigue is bar none the most taxing.
I'll be honest, I can't think of anything better to watch than a baseball game with playoff implications. To see different players will themselves and their teams to victory fills me with an orgasmic rush that Ron Jeremy would be proud of. Just think of all the exciting moments within the last 10 years in the last week of the season and 1 game playoffs. Matt Holliday face planting into home plate to propel the Rockies into the playoffs and eventually in the World Series. The 12 inning epic between the Tigers and Twins two years ago that had Carlos Gomez flying around third base into home. How about the 1978 Yankees versus Red Sox Bucky Dent round tripper heard round the world.
The last week of the season is where some Champions are made, and the hometown 9 will most likely be playing in one of these momentous games.
Players that have been underwhelming the entire year get a chance for atonement over the next 4-5 days. Carl Crawford, the 142 dollar mystery man, has been abysmal but he could drive in a run and clinch a spot in October. John Lackey has been the worst pitcher in Red Sox history but he has a chance to be a hero, or a goat.
The National League also has a race that is very much alive between St. Louis and Atlanta. Atlanta has been reeling, much like Boston and St. Louis is coming on like a house on fire.
This is exciting, this is where baseball lore is written, this is where players can make a name for themselves. What do you think of when you think of Dave Roberts? Kirk Gibson? Joe Carter?
Playoff baseball is here and the tournament hasn't even started yet.
Embrace the Race.
Stay Tuned
Norton
Thursday, September 22, 2011
To Make the Playoffs or Not to Make the Playoffs? That is the Question
If anybody reading this blog can honestly tell me that the Red Sox deserve to make the playoffs more than the Rays after this past month and the overall organizational philosophy of 'Oh, don't worry about that loss guys we tried hard and Lackey's stuff was great I don't know what happened out there' or 'Hey, you slept on the plane wrong and your neck hurts and we are collapsing but you want a few games off? Sure, go for it!' I'd love to hear your rationale. From May 1st thru September 1st the Red Sox were the best team in baseball and in the words of the old timers hot as a pistol yet before May 1st and after September 1st they have been far below average and seem disinterested on most nights. A glance at the team on paper and it wasn't far-fetched to pencil in this years ballclub for 100 wins and a trip to the World Series to face off with the Fightin' Phils. The talk radio arguments were centered not on if the Red Sox had the best offense in baseball (they are 2nd in runs and damn good) but whether they had the best pitching in baseball. The staff that some were comparing to that of the Phillies headed by Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, and Roy Oswalt currently checks in with the 21st best ERA in baseball or if it's easier to digest the 10th worst in baseball.
Probably my favorite stat that I've heard recently about the Red Sox pitching staff centers around the one and only John Lackey. Since the Red Sox were founded in 1901 the worst ERA that any pitcher on their staff has accumulated while throwing at least 100 innings was 5.89....Lackey will set the record this year by chalking up a 6.49 ERA in 154 IP while leading the league in ER's given up at 111. This season will go down as the worst year a starter pitcher has EVER had in a Red Sox uniform. If the Red Sox make the playoffs this is probably the guy who's taking the ball in game 3 since Clay Buchholz won't be ready to go more than an inning or two, while typing this Erik Bedard just broke another toenail, and Alfredo Aceves (probably the teams most effective pitcher this year) hasn't been stretched out to go more than 4 or 5 innings. Are you sure you want the Red Sox to get into the playoffs so you can see them get torched by the Rangers or Tigers in 3...maybe 4 games?
The pitching is what has failed them over the past month more than anything else. The offense is still averaging close to 5.5 runs/game yet the teams record this month is 5-16. The Red Sox rotation currently looks like this: Jon Lester, Josh Beckett, John Lackey, Tim Wakefield, Kyle Weiland or Andrew Miller - pick who you want to get lit up it doesn't really matter they both suck. Jon Lester hasn't picked like a 'Ace' in over a month and has done nothing to slow the teams steady free fall into 2nd maybe 3rd place in the AL Wild Card. Josh Beckett 'rolled' his ankle and missed 10 days or so came back last week and threw well against the Rays but when the Red Sox needed that game last night against the Orioles and he was handed a 4-1 lead going into the 6th he couldn't hold onto it. Big game pitchers win that game every day of the week whether they have to throw 100 pitches or 150 pitches they win that ballgame for their club. It pains me to say this but C.C. Sabathia wins that game for the Yankees without a doubt in my mind. Daniel Bard has also gone up into flames losing 5 games in this month alone while not being able to go an inning without giving up at least 2 walks and most nights a run. The truly only accountable pitcher on the staff lately has been Jonathan Papelbon.
The team is in disarray and the players faces show it every night before, during, and after the games. The attitude on the dugout sucks right now with everyone taking the whoa with me attitude that good teams who don't have the cahoonas to buck up and carry the team into the playoffs and beyond. If you've been watching any of the teams games this month you've seen just how unwatchable the games actually are. It's painful to watch most nights because before the game has even started the opposing team has been staked to a 2 or 3 run lead. Losing 3 out of 4 to the 2nd worst team in the majors Baltimore Orioles when you're in the middle of a dogfight is unacceptable and not what playoff teams do. Unless I see a dramatic change from the 2011 edition of the Boston Red Stockings I personally don't want to see them get into the playoffs and get hammered into the ground. It might do the organization some good to experience a collapse only eclipsed by the 1964 Phillies. Maybe then there will be more accountability in the locker room when players don't show up to the ballpark everyday ready to win and contribute. Maybe then players will play hurt and get the wins necessary to be an elite ballclub for 162 games, not 120 games but the full season.
The decisions all yours on what you want to see happen over the next week and a half of games leading up to the season finale but I know that right now from my perspective I'd rather not see the Red Sox get into the playoffs and by 1, 2, 3 and home playing golf. Ask yourselves this before making your decision though do the 2011 Boston Red Sox deserve to make the playoffs?
Until we cross paths again,
Geoff Jablonski
A Winning Attitude
I'm going to make a bold statement and you're going to guffaw, and then you're slowly going to agree with it. Ready for the big embrace? After watching Jonathan Papelbon blow a save the other night, I decided that night was the exact reason why we need to resign him in the offseason.
Whoa, what did he say? Who is this jamoke?
Obviously, blowing a save is not the reason that I think we should resign him. But his comments after the game are precisely the reason why he should be the closer of the present and future for the Boston Red Sox.
"Whenever I'm called on, I have to do my job. Tonight boiled down to execution, I have to be able to put guys away 0-2. This game is on me. This team needed me and I didn't come through. I don't want to hear anything about Tito bringing guys in early, the lineup not coming through or anything else, this game is on me."
Talk about accountability! Talk about not making excuses or hanging your head. This is exactly the kind of attitude people should be having on a baseball team instead we've been getting this:
John Lackey always having great stuff out on the mound but somehow one bloop-hit seems to be the only reason he gives up 8 runs in 4 innings. Weird.
John Lester (ugh I hate smiting you) talks about the dimensions of Fenway Park doing him in. Get used to it you have another 5 years on your deal bud.
David Ortiz despite the great year, seems to blame the schedule for skids along the way. Everyone has a schedule last time I checked so play it out.
Carl Crawford deflecting reporters because he had yet another bad game. Sack up and own up to what's going on.
Jonathan Papelbon's attitude alone makes me want him as my closer for the next 4-5 years. He has the uncanny ability to forget about a bad outing and come back the next day and effectively get the job done. Despite the death stare that doesn't scare anyone on the mound, this guy's makeup is exactly what Boston needs in this market. The ability to get a job done and the accountability when one should falter is the only kind of player I want on a team that I root for.
Ink him, and do it soon.
Stay Tuned
Norton
Monday, September 19, 2011
A Tail Between the Legs
Well, the Sox played well this weekend eh? It's not even sad, it's infuriating. It's infuriating because the lowly Rays are playing smarter than the Red Sox. The Red Sox are playing, to be frank, like a bunch of pussies. Let's look at the positives and negatives of this series:
Positives:
- Josh Beckett is healthy. If by some stretch of the imagination the Sox stave off the surging Mantas from St. Pete, we at least have someone that we can throw in the fire and know that he's going to give a Texas-sized effort and impose his will on the outcome of the game.
- Offensively Mike Aviles can swing the stick. He is a year removed from hitting .300 for the KC Royals and Fenway's atmosphere and ballpark dimensions really seem to suit him.
- Jonathan Papelbon owns the Rays. That is all that needs to be said regarding that.
That's it. A 4-game series we have 3 goddamn positive points.
Negatives:
- Jon Lester where art thou? Where is the guy that everyone said is the Ace of the Staff? Your stuff is undeniably excellent but when the Boston Red Sox need the cornerstone of their rotation to step up and pitch like an Ace you puke on your shoes. Yes, you got deeper into the ballgame than most of the other guys had done in the last 2 weeks but your offense didn't even get to hit before they were in a 2-0 hole. For the first time in your Big League career I do not have confidence in the Big Lefty, and that hurts.
- The base running blunders are disgusting. What the hell is Jacoby Ellsbury doing? Why would you take the bat out of Pedroia's hands? You are the fastest guy on the field and will score on just about any single in the outfield. Giving away outs is unacceptable especially when your team is wilting like a September rose.
- Adrian Gonzalez goes 0-12 in the biggest series of the year. He's a little nicked up in the shoulder which is robbing some power to the opposite field. You're the best hitter on the Red Sox and you go 0-12? You can have a bad series and go 2-12 but 0-12 is unacceptable. Jeremy Hellickson is a very good pitcher. But you KNOW he's throwing changeups in fastball counts, when does someone sit on a change-up for one pitch? I understand if you sit change-up it's impossible to hit a fastball but for one at-bat? Someone needs to adjust and right now no one is.
- Jarrod Saltalamacchia is not a good catcher. Wakefield's knuckleball is violent. Does anyone that has watched this team not know that? If you can't catch it let it hit you in the goddamn chest protector and keep it in front of you. He has a great arm but his accuracy is so erratic that it negates his arm when he's throwing 5-6 feet to the right and left of the bag. Watching him catch is laborious and exasperating, and it's to the point where I don't think you can go through another season with him as you're primary backstop.
- The starting pitching not just in this series but for the last 2 weeks has been unacceptable. For a team with this payroll and postseason aspirations, consistently not getting through 5 innings is impermissible. Players need to be accountable for their performance and right now the performance is lackluster.
- Terry Francona is the leader of this (sinking) ship and right now he may be the only one that can right the situation. It may be time for Terry Francona to either lose his cool with his team or get tossed out on the field. Joe Maddon wasn't afraid to let his team play without him for a game when he got tossed the other night. It may be time for Francona to do the same. LIGHT THE FIRE.
- Defensively the Red Sox have been putrid, and there is one reason for it. They are playing tight. They know they have to make every play and some players aren't handling the pressure well. Cutoffs are there for a reason, HIT THEM. Back to the basics: throw the ball, catch the ball and hit the ball. Baseball is a simple game that gets made complex by people who think too much.
- Why did the Red Sox sign Carl Crawford if they are going to sit him in the biggest series of the year? I honestly don't care if he is 0 for 200 against David Price you need to win (or lose) with your best players on the field and you just sat your 20 million dollar player for Connor Jackson. If you're going to do that you might as well deal this guy in the offseason. He is hitting .313 during day games this year and shouldn't be sitting because a lefty is on the mound. It doesn't make sense. You don't sit a 20 million dollar a year player, PERIOD. Any confidence he had is gone and will not be repaired this year and hopefully it can be fixed next year.
The Sox have 10 games left that start with a double-header today, with Kyle Weiland followed by John Lackey. Let's say the Sox go 5-5 to end the season the Rays would have to go 7-3 and that is including 2 series against the Yankees. The Yankees don't have much to play for with a playoff berth just about sewn up, and if they feel they can beat the Rays more handily than Boston in the postseason, it would behoove them to essentially tank the 2 series against them. Despite the record against the Sox this year, I think their best chance would be against the Red Sox and not the Rays in a 7 game series.
So basically it's a race to 6 games for Boston because the odds of the Rays winning 8 of the next 10 are going to be monumental. If the Sox only win 5 the Rays could very easily go and win the next 3 series and force a playoff game, especially with the Yankees not having any motivation to win any games.
All you can ask at the end of a season is to control your own destiny. The Red Sox have that luxury because of how well they played between May and August. But if the Red Sox can't pitch better, limit their errors, or stop running themselves into outs and out of innings they will be playing golf and the Greatest Team Ever Assembled will be the Choke Artists of the Century.
Stay Tuned
Norton
Sunday, September 18, 2011
The Quick Slant: 2 Weeks In the Book and the Patriots are 2-0
Tuesday, September 13, 2011
The Quick Slant: Some Thoughts and Notes on the Pats/Fins MNF Matchup
A Collapse of the Century?
When a baseball team is up 7 and ½ games with 22 games to play in order to clinch a playoff spot, mark that team down for October. If the Red Sox complete what they are on the verge of doing, you are talking about certainly the biggest choke job since 1978 in a Red Sox uniform.
You need to ask yourself a few questions.
- Is this team capable of losing the lead and fail monumentally? Absolutely. Every person on the team is slumping right now wish the exception of Marco Scutaro and Jacoby Ellsbury. The pitching is in absolute disarray to the point where we have one established starter and then a myriad of has-been's and probably-won't-be's.
- Is the team mentally strong enough to make the playoffs? I'm not entirely sure that this team has the "character" or "Heart of a Champion" as they say. Dustin Pedroia has it. He's in the lineup every day. Does anyone else? Erik Bedard? Clearly not. This is the first time he's pitched in September (I say that loosely because he's obviously not pitching right now) in about 5 years. I seem to recall someone getting their ankle sutured together just to get out on the mound for his teammates. Tape it up, be a leader. Carl Crawford? Not a chance. His mental approach to the game of baseball is garbage. When things don't go his way, or he's in a (season-long) slump he puts his head down and the tail goes between his legs. Some people are big fish in a small pond, but others are medium sized fish in a small pond, and when thrown into the ocean they drown spectacularly. John Lackey? He's about as useful right now as tits on a bull and I don't care if "I had great stuff", you need to go longer than 5 innings while not letting every runner that gets on base, cross home plate.
- Does this team have the pitching? With a healthy Clay Buchholz and Josh Beckett, they have the pitching. When it's just Jon Lester and the Lack-ettes they don't. The collapse can single-handedly be pointed to the starting pitching. Look at their last time through the rotation:
Sunday: Jon Lester, 4 IP, 4 ER
Saturday: Kyle Weiland, 4 IP, 3 ER
Friday: John Lackey, 3 IP, 5 ER
Thursday: Andrew Miller, 5 IP, 5 ER
Wednesday: Tim Wakefield, 5 IP, 4 ER
I'm not sure how you rectify the situation with John Lackey. It's as if he expects to throw a no-hitter every time out and as soon as a runner gets on he's origami, folds under pressure. The first batter of every game right now is hitting .435 against John Lackey. The leadoff hitter of every inning is hitting .321. And teams are hitting .333 against him with RISP and a gaudy .325 with 2 outs and RISP. The rest of these numbers are so mind-bogglingly bad, I'm wondering how you can even think of starting him in the playoffs regardless of salary.
For all intents and purposes, Weiland's start wasn't the worst thing I've ever seen. He showed a lot of sack just getting out of the first inning with 1 run, after walking the bases loaded. But, no one has gotten past the 5th inning the last 5 times out. The bullpen is on fumes and you can't expect them to actually bail you out EVERY day. There's a reason pitchers are in the bullpen, because they are failed starters, 'nuff said.
Jon Lester, although my personal binky, is not immune to criticism here. As an "Ace" when your team is on a losing streak or a tailspin in this case, it is your job to be a "stopper". His job was to stop the bleeding. Go deep into the game (7 innings minimum), stymie the opposition, and right the Red Sox ship when we needed him the most. On Sunday he pissed down his leg when his team needed him the most, and that was alarming. He needs to find his command, which has been spotty all season, and he has to find a way to be Roy Halladay or Justin Verlander for the 9 innings that he contributes. That is why Josh Beckett will start Game 1 if they get to the playoffs.
- Is this team fundamentally ready to play down the stretch? Right now the Red Sox are playing sloppy. Carl Crawford is trying so hard to make a positive impact that he is actually becoming a detriment to the team both on defense and offense. One out, a man on first and a ball heads towards the gap, Crawford cuts it off and instead of hitting the cutoff man he throws directly to third base which gives the Rays' batter second base essentially erasing the double play. The Red Sox needed the double play still in order and trying to make an impact with his arm because he can't hit a lick, he put them in a worse place to finish the inning. How many times will Marco Scutaro and Jason Varitek be thrown out trying to take the extra base? Aggressive baserunning is permissible. But when you're down in the latter part of a game, a baserunner on first is a lot better than a guy going for a "hustle-double" and getting thrown out at second. If the team stops running themselves into outs and giving free bases to the opposition they are more than capable of winning the AL Wild Card but if they don't clean up the basic baseball principles they will lose.
There are 15 games left and the Red Sox hold a 3 game lead. They start a 9-game homestand 5 of which are against Baltimore and Toronto with Tampa Bay squished in the middle. Josh Beckett's side session puts him in line to be throwing one of the games against Tampa, which should add some sort of stability and hopefully leadership to a depleted starting staff.
For the people that say baseball isn't exciting this is as exciting as it gets. A team that's reeling and struggling to hang on to their lead, combined with a young underdog team trying to usurp the Wild Card spot. Big time players make big time plays and there is no bigger time than now for the Red Sox. Who is going to nut up and keep this team from one of the most monumental collapses in baseball history?
Stay Tuned
Norton